監管、詐騙警報、區塊鏈技術 and 代幣活動
A CFTC staff advisory dated 22 September says contracts that settle on one person's conduct, such as mention markets, carry a heightened risk of manipulation and need preventive trading rules.
Polymarket is lobbying regulators in the UK and the EU to be treated as a financial services firm rather than a gambling operator, according to a Financial Times report.
A Texas Senate committee held a 62-minute hearing on prediction markets, where the American Gaming Association urged the state to sue operators and Kalshi warned about offshore alternatives.
Genius Sports launched Prediction.com, an affiliate site that gathers pricing from several prediction market platforms and shows it alongside live sports data.
Data suppliers, market makers and technology firms are building a supply sector around prediction markets, as sports becomes their main source of liquidity according to a Jefferies report.
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which would set a federal framework for cryptocurrency, failed a key US Senate vote 49-50 and is unlikely to be taken up again this session.
Kalshi and Polymarket together passed $1 billion in NFL trading over the first six days of Week 1, and total weekly prediction market volume reached a record $15.9 billion according to Bank of America.
Prediction market operators ran celebrity ad campaigns around the NFL season opener, featuring LeBron James, Sydney Sweeney and Marshawn Lynch among others.
Fans at Australia's first regular-season NFL game in Melbourne cannot trade on prediction markets, which ASIC says are not licensed to operate as financial markets in the country.
Polymarket aired a 90-second ad featuring LeBron James and other celebrities and launched Squads, a social feature in its US app, as its app downloads rose.
New Jersey's attorney general petitioned the US Supreme Court to review an appeals court ruling that favoured prediction markets, asking whether federal law preempts state sports betting rules.
White Swan Data founder Bernard Marantelli says professional market makers price contracts and supply liquidity on US sports prediction exchanges, and that his firm focuses on parlay requests.
Kalshi permanently banned former US congressman George Santos and fined him $71,356 after finding he manipulated prices on contracts tied to his attendance at the 2026 State of the Union address.
A US appeals court ruled 3-0 that Nevada can enforce its gambling laws against Kalshi, finding that sports event contracts do not qualify as federally regulated swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act.
In a commentary piece, Tom Waterhouse describes how businesses can use prediction market contracts as hedges, and why a tradeable contract does not always match a company's actual losses.
Kalshi signed exclusive multi-year branding partnerships with five MLB clubs, including the Los Angeles Dodgers, as prediction market operators move closer to US pro sports.
Derivatives-market figures aired sharply opposed positions at the first CFTC advisory committee conference on sports event contracts, while the rules are still being drafted.
Contracts that pay out when a speaker says particular words are drawing regulatory attention after reports of an investigation involving a White House staffer.
IG Group's $1.3bn purchase of Underdog reads as more than a prediction markets play: a financial-trading firm bringing capital and risk management into gaming.
Serie A club SS Lazio and Polymarket ended their sponsorship early after new measures by the authorities affected the platform's availability in Italy.
Sportsbook supplier DATA.BET reported a sharp rise in esports GGR and turnover while launching the first version of its prediction markets product.
DraftKings signalled it would go on the offensive against Kalshi and Polymarket, two operators discussed at valuations above $20bn, after mixed second-quarter results.
Flutter CEO Peter Jackson will step down after nine years, leaving FanDuel's prediction markets effort trailing rivals as sportsbooks feel competitive strain.
Genius Sports announced official data partnerships with both Polymarket and Kalshi in the same week, marking its first entry into prediction markets.
Sportradar detailed its Kalshi and Polymarket partnerships but warned that US regulatory ambiguity and slower contract closures would defer material revenue.
The NFL objected to the CFTC's draft integrity provisions for sports event contracts while New York pursued $36bn in damages from Kalshi.
FTSE 100-listed trading platform IG Group agreed to acquire daily fantasy and predictions operator Underdog in a deal worth up to $1.3bn.
The South African Bookmakers Association called for prediction markets to be banned, citing the growth of unregulated platforms and sporting integrity risks.
A CFTC staff advisory said operators are self-certifying event contracts too broadly, bundling multiple contract variations into single template filings.
An examination of how market makers supply liquidity on prediction markets, and why that structure lets the platforms compete with fixed-odds bookmakers.
